The Scotland Royal Bank pointed out in Sydney foreign exchange analyst Greg Gibbs that European Union and the IMF involvement will cause possibly the sovereignty debt crisis to conduct from Greece to take Germany and France as representative’s Eurozone major country. but this will enable the euro not to favor. However Shanghai inscription fine gold investment chief finance analyst Gan Shanyuan indicated to newspaper reporter that looking from short-term IMF and European Union’s response, the possibility which Greece’s debt depth will worsen at least is not big.

The European Union Statistics bureau on January 29 announces the data demonstrated that in last December the Eurozone unemployment rate achieved 10%, since has set the record of August’s, 1998 historical new high. This digit and in the last November 9.9% unemployment rates compared rose 0.1 percentage point, the same time 8.2% compared with 2008 also has enhances largely. The data also demonstrated that the European Union 27 country last December’s unemployment rate was 9.6%, 9.5% also rose 0.

Percentage point compared to November. Guo Degang the right and wrong mutual hatred history is very much big the bottom (group chart) The medical department pays attention to the baby early puberty The asset management company collaborates the place to make PE The petroleum 600,000,000,000 projects seek the privately operated partner Beijing sum total subsidy Public hospital loss The Federal Reserve discusses the rest difficult word withdrawal on Tuesday Associates over 1,000,000,000 buys stock the divine land to rent a car micro abundant the minority rich person grain bin room does not have the influence to the poor person Compares one year ago, the European Union all member nation’s unemployment rate goes up. And, the Eurozone first big economy Germany’s rise is smallest, from 7.1% climbs to 7.5%; But the Latvian rise is biggest, from 11.3% revalues 22.
8%. In the EU member, Holland’s unemployment rate is lowest, is 4.

Looks like purely in Ding, in the medium and long-term says, the key was the Greek crisis may say that was only a similar crisis’s model, behind this’s Eurozone principle, the structure and the system question have still not solved, what on the one hand behind the Eurozone identical currency corresponded was the labor force very not balanced various member nations, the economic development was not balanced, on the other hand Eurozone itself also lacked the withdrawal designs and so on machine-made, emergency procedures. In addition, drags into IMF to participation this time rescues whether to become the one kind of long-time pattern ex analogia to be unknown in the future. According to the Pengboshe newest investigation in the value, the Eurozone economy will grow 1.15% in this year, the American economy will record 3% increased ranges; In addition, the Federal Reserve will rise the rest in this year to 0.
75%, but the European Central Bank will maintain 1% datum interest rate in the year to be invariable. At present, Spain diligently before 2013 accounts for the GDP proportion its 11.2% budget deficit to adjust European Union to request in the scope, Portugal diligently is also cutting the deficit.

First IMF chief economist Simon Johnson publicly indicated that European Union should consider has to the Portuguese bond first purchases the power. The Japanese Mitsubishi UFJ Bank is in charge of Derek Halpenny in the London foreign exchange research to point out that European Union and International Monetary Fund the aid program cannot change the intermediate stage prospect, i.e. the Eurozone economic resurgence will possibly delay in other developed economies, this will also cause the euro to continue in this year to be in the downward channel.
The euro road ahead is worrying Since this year, the euro exchanges US dollar greatest decline range over 8%, European Union and IMF stretched out the news which aided once to cause the euro to bounce over 2% at the beginning of the month, but in the past one week, the euro exchanged US dollar to fall 1.2% continuously once again. Including the French Paris Bank, Morgan Stanley’s financial organ believed that in the future will hold back the European economy will become the hindrance euro exchange rate upward factor.

The French Paris Bank estimated that in view of the fact that the Greek crisis affects, the euro will exchange US dollar exchange rate to fall in the middle of the next year to 1.19 positions, since will have been March, 2006 is lowest. This line is in charge of Hans-Guenter Redeker in the London whole world foreign exchange strategy to believe that a euro trouble will continue so, the very possible situation is far European Union rescues the plan also to appear in the future, because the Eurozone periphery country will also be able not but to withstand the painful the financial deflation and the salary adjustment process. Pengboshe newest cruising data demonstrated that the foreign exchange strategy teacher already to a great extent declined to euro prospect anticipated, at present thought that the euro will exchange US dollar exchange rate to arrive at 1.33 at the end of this year, at the present the year the beginning of the year’s estimate is 1.
45. The auspicious silver’s foreign exchange analyst is pointed out that the euro exchanges US dollar the downward tendency to look like continues inevitably.

January 26 to February 6, the American national debt returns ratio curve small scale uppers shift, the intermediate stage returns ratio rise is small, the short-term and the long-term returns ratio rise are big. Looking from the observation period the trading day national debt returns ratio observed result, the medium and long-term national debt returns ratio three days has the big fluctuation day after day in January 27-29: On January 27 drops, on January 28 by falls the extension to rise, on January 29 further rises, in three days go out one V the glyph. On January 27 the American national debt returns ratio drops the reason is mainly the same day sale by sealed tender 40,000,000,000 US dollar 2 year time national debt demand surges upward, the subscriber multiple created in recent years new high, pushed the high market purchase national debt the enthusiasm.
Behind the new sale by sealed tender’s national debt will receive pursues holds the reason is the market universal anticipated January the 27-28 Federal Reserve discusses the rest conference to announce that will purchase the long-term national debt immediately, before will be this, already formulated the decision-making will start the substantive movement. But after on January 28 the Federal Reserve discusses the rest conference ended, had not announced that purchased the long-term national debt immediately the news, caused the market anticipated to fail, to create afterward national debt returns ratio bounce. Guo Degang the right and wrong mutual hatred history is very much big the bottom (group chart) The grain price high rising tide sweeps across China The asset management company collaborates the place to make PE The petroleum 600,000,000,000 projects seek the privately operated partner Beijing sum total subsidy Public hospital loss In the railroad order form net hopeful year clears Associates over 1,000,000,000 buys stock the divine land to rent a car micro abundant the minority rich person grain bin room does not have the influence to the poor person The returns ratio rise can continue in January 29, is the investor weakens to the national debt quantity issued dramatic rise and the foreign capital purchase dual worried that creates. The national debt quantity issued dramatic rise anticipated has existed, we already analyzed this kind in the previous issue of column to anticipate that to the bond market influence’s might, this analysis foreign capital purchase weakens this factor.

In fact, many investors thought that recently the American national debt falls, is because the market worried that American incumbent Treasury Secretary Gaertner on January 22 carries on the attack by the operation exchange rate to China possibly to cause China to stop increasing holds perhaps reduces the American national debt. This does not worry without the reason, because in 2007 once had the report (Britain Daily Telegraph) said that the Chinese government two senior officials expressed the Chinese government possibly has the American national debt take it as a chip, resists the US to threaten punishes exerts pressure the Renminbi revaluation. This opinion has caused at that time American President Bush’s explicit dealing with. Although proved afterward the report has is not in accordance with the facts the place, but the Sino-US official stratification plane similar RMB rate question argues occurs once more, China has the American national debt question obtains the market attention naturally, so that the market is affected, but falls obviously. Therefore, between Chinese and US’s relations, specially the economical and the financial relation and the dispute, manifest more and more obvious influence to the American national debt trend.
The connection factor is China first big has country’s status as the American national debt, as well as the economical financial dispute uses the economical financial method solves logic. According to the Federal Reserve on January 28 the data demonstrated that foreign Central Bank reduces American national debt 4,594,000,000 US dollars to 1,730,000,000,000 US dollars, perhaps has China’s reducing quantity.

Will discuss under the rescue mechanism background in the Greek Government with European Union and the International Monetary Fund, many market public figures and the expert believed that the Greek story will possibly continue so, the euro reverse opportunity not yet will also arrive. emergency mechanism The European Central Bank Management committee member Weber recently publicized pointed out that Greece possibly needs to reach as high as 80,000,000,000 euro rescue funds to be able to avoid breaking a contract. Before this, European Union and IMF had agreed that respectively provides 30,000,000,000 euros and 15,000,000,000 euro loans to Greece, the interest rate is 5%, but Greece distributed 1,200,000,000-and-a-half euros year times last week and time one year time national debt also appeared exceeds the quota the subscriber scene, this country this Tuesday distributes 1,500,000,000 euro 3 month time national debt in the local time.
Guo Degang the right and wrong mutual hatred history is very much big the bottom (group chart) The medical department pays attention to the baby early puberty The asset management company collaborates the place to make PE The petroleum 600,000,000,000 projects seek the privately operated partner Beijing sum total subsidy Public hospital loss The Federal Reserve discusses the rest difficult word withdrawal on Tuesday Associates over 1,000,000,000 buys stock the divine land to rent a car micro abundant the minority rich person grain bin room does not have the influence to the poor person Greece debt crisis should speak of has reached a critical point, the key is from the emergency angle looked that the machine-made angle looked.Fudan University Europe question Research center Director Professor Ding Chun accepted “First Finance and economics Daily paper” the other day reporter when the interview said. Germany Commercial bank foreign exchange analyst Ulrich Leuchtmann recently wrote in a report, only then carries out truly after Greece a series of finances reduce the measure, this country finance question only then calculates the solution. Morgan Stanley is in charge of Sophia Drossos in New York whole world foreign exchange also to point out whether the key question is these countries carries out the finance to reduce the plan as scheduled, but simultaneously must guarantee that the economic growth is strong enough may withstand measures and so on tax cut.

Is threatened the initiation the frost the congenial buying offer impetus, the soybean (information, quotation) the time price recently presented the large bounce. However, the professional estimated that because the Chinese soybean reserve inches higher, the soybean time price went out the strong trend quotation with difficulty, the market still in fell in the channel. on 16th, Dalian soybean stock opens high, after afterward declines, the anisotropous disk reorganizes, afternoon fluctuates not in a big way, the plate receives high largely finally. The main force A1005 contract, the opening price 3680 Yuan/tons, the closing price 3650 Yuan/tons, rise 67 Yuan/tons. Guo Degang the right and wrong mutual hatred history is very much big the bottom (group chart) The medical department pays attention to the baby early puberty The asset management company collaborates the place to make PE The petroleum 600,000,000,000 projects seek the privately operated partner Beijing sum total subsidy Public hospital loss The grain price soars partial or the present grain rushes to purchase Associates over 1,000,000,000 buys stock the divine land to rent a car micro abundant the minority rich person grain bin room does not have the influence to the poor person The professional pointed out that the current soybean rise in price is mainly threatened the American frost the initiation the congenial buying offer impetus.